News & Updates

The Week Ahead - May 5th

Date Posted: 05.05.2015

 We expect equity markets to remain very volatile this in the days ahead, following on from the heavy selling seen last week, with the VIX Index jumping from 12 to 15. After the strong European equity gains seen YTD, investors were in taking profit, as weak US data weighed on global risk sentiment. Expectations for European economic data and company earnings have increased since QE began, making any upside surprises or earnings beats more difficult. Movements in EURUSD are essential in determining whether US or European equities outperform, and we think EURUSD could push on towards 1.15, which we view as a good entry level for long positions in European exporters. Gauging the timing of the first interest rate hike is crucial to equity market direction; as a result, the key data focus for the week will be Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls employment reading.


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